Demand in the United States for lamps is forecast to advance 3.1 percent per year to $5.2 billion in 2009, according to a new study from the Freedonia Group, a Cleveland-based industrial market research firm. (In 2004, U.S. lamp demand totaled $4.4 billion.) This number includes total sales for both electrical discharge sources (such as fluorescent and HID), as well as filament lamps (incandescent and halogen). It does not, however, consider sales of LEDs. It also does not account for sales of foreign lamp imports. The report cites several reasons for the growth in lamp sales.

Strong nonresidential and nonbuilding construction trends, as well as a positive projection for the production of lamp-containing manufactured goods, such as motor vehicles, transportation equipment, and electronic products, will contribute in part to the growth. The blooming quest for energy efficiency on the part of both government and the consumer will also play a role in the increased sales of fluorescent and HID lamps over the coming years. For this reason, compact fluorescent products will continue to replace incandescents in residential applications. The report notes that HID lamps offer particularly strong growth prospects, benefiting from transportation infrastructure spending and increased acceptance of metal halide sources.

Of the $5.2 billion, building applications will account for $3.3 billion, consumer products for $545 million, motor vehicles for $450 million, and equipment and other for $860 million. Sales of filament sources will total $2.7 billion; sales of electrical discharge, $2.5 billion. The report is available from the Freedonia Group for $4,200.